$90.1M Vol · $1.0M 24h · Oct 28, 2026
Geopolitics · Iran Ceasefire · Iran
$8.7M Vol · $155 24h · $81K liquidity · Live odds refresh every few seconds
December 31, 2027
31%▼ 1%
31% chance
$114K Vol · Ends Jan 1, 2027
31%
▼ 1%
19%
▲ 1%
10%
2%
$114K Vol · $50.94 24h · $23K liquidity
Yes 31¢
31%
No 69¢
69%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanon by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory, regardless of if some Lebanese territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice. The Shebaa Farms area is considered Israeli territory for the purposes of this market and will not be considered toward its resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
Public market rules. Live odds refresh every few seconds
From the public market feed. These are not Elyodds accounts.
