
Military Strikes · Politics · Geopolitics
$78.4M Vol · $48K 24h · $409K liquidity · Live odds refresh every few seconds
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
11%
11% chance
$78.4M Vol · Ends Jan 1, 2027
11%
$78.4M Vol · $48K 24h · $409K liquidity
Yes 11¢
11%
No 90¢
90%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
Public market rules. Live odds refresh every few seconds
From the public market feed. These are not Elyodds accounts.