US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?March 3166%▼4%Yes 66¢No 35¢December 3134%▼7%Yes 34¢No 66¢+2 more outcomes$49.0M Vol · $485K 24h · Jan 1, 2027
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)December 3183%Yes 83¢No 17¢November 3064%Yes 64¢No 37¢+3 more outcomes$68K Vol · $70K 24h · Dec 31, 2026
Where will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place?UAE96%Yes 96¢No 3.6¢No Talks by December 31, 20273%Yes 3.0¢No 97¢+27 more outcomes$295K Vol · $57K 24h · Jan 1, 2028
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?4%Yes 4.0¢No 96¢$2.2M Vol · $48K 24h · Jan 1, 2027
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)11%Yes 11¢No 90¢Dilution of Iran's Uranium10%▲1%Yes 10¢No 90¢+4 more outcomes$1.6M Vol · $43K 24h · Jan 1, 2027
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?December 31, 202641%▼4%Yes 41¢No 60¢November 30, 202621%▼8%Yes 21¢No 80¢$1.5M Vol · $39K 24h · Dec 31, 2026
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?December 3136%Yes 36¢No 65¢November 3016%▼1%Yes 16¢No 85¢$3.9M Vol · $29K 24h · Jan 1, 2027
Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?December 3125%▼4%Yes 25¢No 76¢November 3014%▼2%Yes 14¢No 87¢$3.7M Vol · $7.4K 24h · Nov 1, 2026
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?4%Yes 3.8¢No 96¢$18.6M Vol · $6.7K 24h · Jan 1, 2027
Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place...?No Meeting by December 3158%▲4%Yes 58¢No 42¢Qatar16%▼2%Yes 16¢No 84¢+17 more outcomes$257K Vol · $3.0K 24h · Dec 31, 2026
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?Steve Witkoff40%Yes 40¢No 60¢Abbas Araghchi40%▼2%Yes 40¢No 60¢+22 more outcomes$2.1M Vol · $740 24h · Jan 1, 2027
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?8%Yes 8.0¢No 92¢$338K Vol · $411 24h · Jan 1, 2027
Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)December 3126%▼3%Yes 26¢No 74¢November 3025%▲7%Yes 25¢No 75¢+1 more outcomes$121K Vol · $156 24h · Jan 1, 2027
Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)10%Yes 9.5¢No 91¢$26K Vol · $140 24h · Dec 1, 2026
Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?33%Yes 33¢No 67¢$44K Vol · $54.60 24h · Dec 31, 2026
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?December 31, 202731%▼1%Yes 31¢No 69¢June 30, 202718%Yes 18¢No 82¢+2 more outcomes$8.7M Vol · $20.00 24h · Jan 1, 2027
Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?March 3119%▲4%Yes 19¢No 81¢December 316%Yes 6.0¢No 94¢$1.4M Vol · Apr 1, 2027
