Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?November 1589%▲8%Yes 89¢No 12¢November 2282%▲12%Yes 82¢No 19¢+6 more outcomes$49.3M Vol · $983K 24h · Dec 31, 2026
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?March 3167%▼3%Yes 67¢No 34¢December 3134%▼7%Yes 34¢No 66¢+2 more outcomes$49.0M Vol · $488K 24h · Jan 1, 2027
US-Iran effective ceasefire continues through...?November 5100%Yes 100¢No 0.3¢November 699%▲2%Yes 99¢No 1.4¢$3.9M Vol · $109K 24h · Jan 1, 2027
Israeli airspace closed by...? (Excluding Holiday Closures)December 3137%▲6%Yes 37¢No 63¢November 3018%▼3%Yes 18¢No 83¢$897K Vol · $92K 24h · Jan 1, 2027
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)December 3183%Yes 83¢No 17¢November 3064%Yes 64¢No 37¢+3 more outcomes$66K Vol · $68K 24h · Dec 31, 2026
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?4%Yes 4.0¢No 96¢$2.2M Vol · $48K 24h · Jan 1, 2027
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?December 31, 202641%▼4%Yes 41¢No 60¢November 30, 202621%▼8%Yes 21¢No 80¢$1.5M Vol · $40K 24h · Dec 31, 2026
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?9%Yes 8.5¢No 92¢$16.9M Vol · $23K 24h · Jan 1, 2027
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?3%Yes 2.5¢No 97¢$1.5M Vol · $18K 24h · Dec 1, 2026
Iran full airspace closure by...?December 3127%▼5%Yes 27¢No 74¢November 3014%▼5%Yes 14¢No 87¢$11.2M Vol · $15K 24h · Jan 1, 2027
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?4%Yes 3.8¢No 96¢$18.6M Vol · $6.7K 24h · Jan 1, 2027
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?5%Yes 4.5¢No 96¢$77.4M Vol · $4.5K 24h · Jan 1, 2027
Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place...?No Meeting by December 3158%▲4%Yes 58¢No 42¢Qatar16%▼2%Yes 16¢No 84¢+17 more outcomes$257K Vol · $3.0K 24h · Dec 31, 2026
Will Iran target an Arab country by...?November 1587%▲4%Yes 87¢No 13¢November 3086%▼2%Yes 86¢No 14¢$4.7K Vol · $1.6K 24h · Dec 1, 2026
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?Abbas Araghchi41%▼1%Yes 41¢No 60¢Steve Witkoff40%Yes 40¢No 60¢+22 more outcomes$2.1M Vol · $740 24h · Jan 1, 2027
Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?32%Yes 32¢No 68¢$44K Vol · $54.60 24h · Dec 31, 2026
Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?4%Yes 3.6¢No 96¢$331K Vol · $20.00 24h · Dec 1, 2026
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?December 31, 202731%▲1%Yes 31¢No 69¢June 30, 202718%Yes 18¢No 82¢+2 more outcomes$8.7M Vol · $20.00 24h · Jan 1, 2027
