US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?March 3167%▼3%Yes 67¢No 34¢December 3134%▼7%Yes 34¢No 66¢+2 more outcomes$49.0M Vol · $488K 24h · Jan 1, 2027
US-Iran effective ceasefire continues through...?November 5100%Yes 100¢No 0.3¢November 699%▲2%Yes 99¢No 1.4¢$3.9M Vol · $109K 24h · Jan 1, 2027
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)December 3183%Yes 83¢No 17¢November 3064%Yes 64¢No 37¢+3 more outcomes$66K Vol · $68K 24h · Dec 31, 2026
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?4%Yes 4.0¢No 96¢$2.2M Vol · $48K 24h · Jan 1, 2027
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)11%Yes 11¢No 90¢Dilution of Iran's Uranium10%▲1%Yes 10¢No 90¢+4 more outcomes$1.6M Vol · $43K 24h · Jan 1, 2027
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?December 31, 202641%▼4%Yes 41¢No 60¢November 30, 202621%▼8%Yes 21¢No 80¢$1.5M Vol · $40K 24h · Dec 31, 2026
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?December 3136%Yes 36¢No 65¢November 3016%▼1%Yes 16¢No 85¢$3.9M Vol · $34K 24h · Jan 1, 2027
Iran full airspace closure by...?December 3127%▼5%Yes 27¢No 74¢November 3014%▼5%Yes 14¢No 87¢$11.2M Vol · $15K 24h · Jan 1, 2027
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?4%Yes 3.8¢No 96¢$18.6M Vol · $6.7K 24h · Jan 1, 2027
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?5%Yes 4.5¢No 96¢$77.4M Vol · $4.5K 24h · Jan 1, 2027
Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place...?No Meeting by December 3158%▲4%Yes 58¢No 42¢Qatar16%▼2%Yes 16¢No 84¢+17 more outcomes$257K Vol · $3.0K 24h · Dec 31, 2026
Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?No Return to Normal Traffic in 202692%▲1%Yes 92¢No 8.5¢December7%▼1%Yes 6.6¢No 93¢+2 more outcomes$633K Vol · $1.7K 24h · Feb 1, 2027
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?16%Yes 16¢No 85¢$527K Vol · $1.1K 24h · Jan 1, 2027
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?Steve Witkoff40%Yes 40¢No 60¢Abbas Araghchi40%▼2%Yes 40¢No 60¢+22 more outcomes$2.1M Vol · $740 24h · Jan 1, 2027
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?8%Yes 8.0¢No 92¢$338K Vol · $411 24h · Jan 1, 2027
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?2%Yes 2.5¢No 98¢$684K Vol · $219 24h · Jan 1, 2027
Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?32%Yes 32¢No 68¢$44K Vol · $54.60 24h · Dec 31, 2026
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?7%Yes 7.0¢No 93¢$92K Vol · $40.00 24h · Jan 1, 2027
